The receipts
Most stock tools just tell you what to buy. Signal Deck measures whether its signals actually worked — and shows you, in the open.
For every signal we record, we track how that stock moved over the next week and month versus the market (the S&P 500). No cherry-picking and no hiding the misses — the table updates automatically as more results mature.
We keep which signal is which private — what matters here is the measured track record, not the recipe.
| Signal | ~1 week | ~1 month |
|---|---|---|
| Composite — multiple signals in agreement our headline: several independent signals lining up on one stock |
-0.1% · 48% beat (n=400) | +0.4% · 53% beat (n=211) |
| Signal A | -1.3% · 30% beat (n=27) | +1.7% · 63% beat (n=19) |
| Signal B | -0.8% · 46% beat (n=13) | -2.3% · 44% beat (n=9) |
| Signal C | -0.4% · 48% beat (n=170) | +0.9% · 58% beat (n=102) |
| Signal D | +0.6% · 67% beat (n=6) | -1.9% · 33% beat (n=6) |
| Signal E | -0.3% · 47% beat (n=232) | -0.8% · 46% beat (n=181) |
| Caution flag 1 a warning signal — negative is the point |
-0.6% · 46% beat (n=214) | -1.5% · 46% beat (n=153) |
| Caution flag 2 a warning signal — negative is the point |
-0.1% · 47% beat (n=43) | -4.3% · 30% beat (n=27) |
Each cell shows the median move versus the S&P 500 and the share of signals that beat it. “n” is how many matured examples — small samples are noisy, so early numbers wobble. Caution signals are expected to be negative — that's the point of flagging them.
Signals, not advice. This is information about how signals have behaved historically — not a recommendation to buy or sell anything, and past results don't predict the future. Everything you test inside the app runs on paper money.